### Team total points odd/even strategy

2019年7月24日9:00 AM カテゴリー：記事

The odds that the points scored by a team in a game to be odd or even are the same as the odds of tail and head to come out when we flip the coin, meaning 50 percent. Notably in sports as basketball at which the scores are high and also the points happen more than one at one time. It’s only a game of numbers.

If we know and we knoe that the true probability for each outcome is 50 percent we can use the legislation of binomial distribution to estimate the chances of events to happen in trials.

What I mean is that when a group has 6 consecutive odd points that are complete, the chances that the 7th game the points scored to be odd are 0.062, 62 from 1000. More if a group has 7 consecutive odd total points that the chances to become at the 8th are 0.035, 35 out of 1000. The probability will not become 0 after 8 or 9 consecutive chances but they’re becoming more closer to 0. Even there nevertheless are opportunities but just 35 in 1000 trilas.

The main point is that Dallas Mavericks possess 6 consecutive odd total points so if we bet total points even for Dallas the chances to lose the wager are 6.2percent and Phoenix Suns have 7 consecutive odd totals so if we they will score tonight a total even the odds to lose will be 3.5%.

I didn’t make any backtesting but it’s pure mathematics so I’ll take them as two good bets.

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